How Brexit is projected to impact on Nigeria

LAGOS, (CAJ News) – THE withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European  Union will have adverse impacts on Nigeria’s economy and the war against the Boko Haram, a business risk intelligence firm has projected.

The UK-based EXX Africa said the effective implementation of a new foreign  exchange mechanism and liberalisation of the fuel sector will face fresh hurdles as the UK withdrew from the European bloc as announced recently.

“The main impact of a ‘Brexit’ on Nigeria would be further deterioration of the country’s already struggling economy, which has been caused by the  fall in global oil prices and a steep drop in local crude production due  to an insurgency in the Niger Delta,” said EXX Africa.

It noted there had been extensive trade and security cooperation between  the UK and Nigeria that would be likely to face several years of  disruption as the UK departs from the EU. Nigeria is the UK’s second-largest export market in Africa.

Bilateral trade between the two countries is currently worth US$8,3  billion and projected to reach USD25 billion by 2020.

Trade between the two countries is currently worth US$8,3 billion and projected to reach $ billion by 2020.

The UK is also Nigeria’s largest source of foreign investment, with assets worth over $1,4 billion.

Moreover, UK-Nigerian remittances account for $21 billion a year.

The UK is also one of the largest development assistance donors to  Nigeria, although Nigeria is not as aid-dependent as most continental counterparts.

Beyond trade and investment, the UK is also a key partner in Nigerian security, EXX Africa.

The UK has been crucial to drawing international attention to the Islamist Boko Haram insurgency in Nigeria’s northeast.

EXX Africa said there was a risk that the UK would become distracted from  international security threats, such as those by Boko Haram, as it negotiates its departure from the EU.

“ However, the US and France have proven more crucial partners than the UK  in combating Boko Haram, thus mitigating the effect on counter-insurgency  efforts.”

CAJ News

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